Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 3.276650e-05 0.000039 0.000045 0.000052 0.000061 0.000069 0.000080
2025-04-06 2.426037e-05 0.000032 0.000040 0.000051 0.000063 0.000077 0.000094
2025-04-13 1.775288e-05 0.000026 0.000035 0.000048 0.000063 0.000081 0.000104
2025-04-20 1.363584e-05 0.000022 0.000032 0.000046 0.000064 0.000086 0.000115
2025-04-27 1.106910e-05 0.000019 0.000030 0.000046 0.000067 0.000093 0.000128
2025-05-04 9.142284e-06 0.000017 0.000029 0.000046 0.000070 0.000100 0.000141
2025-05-11 8.233833e-06 0.000017 0.000029 0.000048 0.000075 0.000111 0.000159
2025-05-18 6.886524e-06 0.000015 0.000028 0.000048 0.000078 0.000117 0.000172
2025-05-25 5.280183e-06 0.000013 0.000025 0.000046 0.000077 0.000119 0.000178
2025-06-01 4.180728e-06 0.000011 0.000024 0.000045 0.000077 0.000122 0.000186
2025-06-08 3.429700e-06 0.000010 0.000023 0.000044 0.000078 0.000126 0.000197
2025-06-15 2.820717e-06 0.000009 0.000022 0.000044 0.000080 0.000131 0.000207
2025-06-22 2.167493e-06 0.000008 0.000020 0.000043 0.000081 0.000137 0.000220
2025-06-29 1.555718e-06 0.000007 0.000019 0.000042 0.000081 0.000140 0.000230
2025-07-06 1.001864e-06 0.000005 0.000016 0.000039 0.000079 0.000140 0.000235
2025-07-13 6.754190e-07 0.000005 0.000015 0.000038 0.000079 0.000143 0.000244
2025-07-20 4.927353e-07 0.000004 0.000014 0.000038 0.000081 0.000149 0.000258
2025-07-27 3.603744e-07 0.000004 0.000014 0.000038 0.000083 0.000156 0.000272
2025-08-03 3.156775e-07 0.000004 0.000014 0.000040 0.000089 0.000168 0.000296
2025-08-10 2.246360e-07 0.000003 0.000014 0.000040 0.000091 0.000175 0.000311
2025-08-17 1.218711e-07 0.000003 0.000012 0.000038 0.000089 0.000175 0.000316
2025-08-24 6.750590e-08 0.000002 0.000011 0.000037 0.000089 0.000178 0.000326
2025-08-31 3.903499e-08 0.000002 0.000011 0.000036 0.000090 0.000183 0.000338